Blumenthaler SV vs TuSpo Surheide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
16º
12º
20
6º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
BLU
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 1
LEH
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
BLU
70%
15%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SVH
3 - 4
BLU
83%
10%
7%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 1
WOL
16%
17%
67%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
TuSpo Surheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
TSS
77%
13%
9%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TSS
1 - 1
WOL
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
TSS
1 - 3
SVH
16%
18%
66%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TSS
4 - 0
SCH
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 0
TSS
26%
22%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |