Blumenthaler SV vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
51.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
8º
7º
44
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
VAT
2 - 1
BLU
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BLU
0 - 2
BRI
47%
20%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 3
BLU
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BLU
4 - 1
SVH
14%
16%
69%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +5 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GEE
3 - 0
BLU
57%
19%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SGA
4 - 0
LEH
84%
10%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 1
SGA
27%
21%
52%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 1
TKA
91%
7%
3%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 5
OBE
42%
22%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TRB
2 - 6
SGA
44%
21%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |