Blumenthaler SV vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
42.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
13º
9º
18
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
13 | 70 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
|
1º
|
18 | 65 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 61 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 53 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 48 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 47 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 46 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 28 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 28 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 27 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 15 |
16º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
BLU
4 - 9
BRE
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 85 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BLU
4 - 2
TKA
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TRB
2 - 5
BLU
47%
21%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BLU
7 - 1
VAT
74%
14%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BLU
0 - 13
WER
5%
11%
85%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
GEE
5 - 2
OSC
30%
20%
50%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
OSC
4 - 3
SGA
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
VAB
0 - 1
OSC
25%
20%
55%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 2
OSC
11%
15%
74%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OSC
2 - 0
BRI
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |