Blumenthaler SV vs Oberneuland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
66.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.7%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
8º
7º
47
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LEH
4 - 3
BLU
18%
18%
65%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
WOL
5 - 3
BLU
23%
19%
57%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BLU
4 - 1
UNI
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OSC
4 - 0
BLU
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BLU
5 - 2
SGA
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 5
SGA
75%
14%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 3
LEH
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 2
OBE
18%
17%
65%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 4
OBE
4%
9%
87%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TRB
1 - 3
OBE
17%
16%
67%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +2 |