Blumenthaler SV vs Oberneuland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
73.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
16º
12º
69
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SGA
3 - 0
BLU
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 2
BTN
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 1
TSS
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
BLU
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 1
LEH
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
OBE
4 - 0
SCH
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 3
OBE
6%
11%
83%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
1 - 3
OBE
25%
19%
55%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 1
VAT
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
OSC
1 - 1
OBE
28%
20%
52%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |