Blumenthaler SV vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
58.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1940 |
DRE
5 - 0
BLU
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
MSV
2 - 0
S04
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
WUP
1 - 4
MSV
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
MSV
3 - 1
BRE
39%
27%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
S04
0 - 1
MSV
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
MSV
0 - 0
WUP
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |