Blumenau vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blumenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
BLU
1 - 1
SCA
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 1
BLU
37%
22%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 1
BLU
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 2
CAC
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MET
0 - 2
BLU
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
TUB
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 0
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUV
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
6%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | -1 |