Blooming vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
11º
8º
9
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 45 |
1º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 42 |
2º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 35 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 32 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 31 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 31 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 31 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 24 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 19 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blooming
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 1
BLO
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 0
BLO
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BLO
4 - 1
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
UDV
1 - 0
BLO
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BLO
2 - 1
IND
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAC
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SAC
1 - 2
STR
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 2
AUR
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SAC
0 - 1
OPE
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
UDV
1 - 1
SAC
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |