Blooming vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blooming
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
BLO
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
BLO
2 - 1
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ROY
2 - 3
BLO
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
EME
2 - 0
BLO
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
BLO
2 - 1
BOL
13%
18%
69%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUR
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
AUR
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 1
ROY
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 0
AUR
87%
10%
4%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |