Blooming vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blooming
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
RPO
4 - 0
BLO
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
BLO
4 - 1
LAP
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
STR
3 - 1
BLO
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BLO
2 - 0
PET
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
BLO
2 - 3
JWI
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 3
BOL
34%
25%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 6
JWI
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 2
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |