Blooming vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blooming
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
BLO
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2010 |
BLO
2 - 2
RPO
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
BLO
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
BLO
2 - 1
STR
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
JWI
0 - 1
BLO
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
UNI
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 3
AUR
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
AUR
3 - 0
REA
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 0
AUR
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
RPO
2 - 1
AUR
62%
21%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |