Bloemfontein Celtic vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bloemfontein Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
BLO
2 - 3
AJA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
BLO
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BLO
0 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 5
BLO
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BLO
2 - 2
PRE
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
BID
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
AJA
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
POL
2 - 3
FRE
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
FRE
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |