Bloemfontein Celtic vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bloemfontein Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
PIR
3 - 0
BLO
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
BLO
1 - 2
BID
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
POL
1 - 1
BLO
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BLO
0 - 3
PIR
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
BLO
0 - 0
SSU
41%
28%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 0
CHI
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
THA
2 - 3
FRE
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 1
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 3
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
PLS
0 - 0
FRE
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |