Smari vs UMF Njardvík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
72.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMF Njardvík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2020 |
AFT
2 - 2
NJA
64%
19%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
VIK
4 - 2
NJA
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
NJA
1 - 2
GRO
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
HAU
4 - 0
NJA
48%
23%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
AFT
2 - 2
NJA
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |