Smari vs Ægir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
80.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
KFB
1 - 2
BLI
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
5 - 1
BLI
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
BLI
2 - 3
GGI
5%
10%
86%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HMH
4 - 1
BLI
94%
5%
2%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
BLI
0 - 1
YKP
3%
7%
90%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Ægir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
REY
1 - 2
AEG
29%
22%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
THR
2 - 1
AEG
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AEG
2 - 2
REY
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HOH
0 - 1
AEG
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
AEG
2 - 0
HAU
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |