Bleiburg vs Welzenegg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
MSA
3 - 1
BLE
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BLE
4 - 0
SPI
51%
23%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
VEI
4 - 1
BLE
49%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
BLE
1 - 0
WOL
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GRI
2 - 3
BLE
13%
19%
69%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Welzenegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 1
SCL
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
WAC
0 - 1
WEL
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 2
TRE
28%
25%
47%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 0
MSA
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SPI
4 - 0
WEL
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |