Bleiburg vs Treibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
WEL
1 - 4
BLE
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BLE
1 - 1
KMD
41%
24%
35%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
RAP
0 - 1
BLE
56%
23%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BLE
0 - 1
WOL
37%
25%
39%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
STE
5 - 2
BLE
28%
23%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 2
VOL
45%
25%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 2
RUD
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
WEL
0 - 2
TRE
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
KMD
45%
24%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
RAP
1 - 0
TRE
46%
25%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |