Bleiburg vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
FEL
1 - 2
BLE
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
BLE
4 - 1
GMD
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BWS
2 - 2
BLE
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
BLE
0 - 1
KMD
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
VEI
1 - 1
BLE
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
MIC
3 - 1
VOL
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
SVV
0 - 3
MIC
29%
22%
48%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MIC
2 - 1
KUH
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
ANB
1 - 1
MIC
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MIC
2 - 1
MSA
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |