Bleiburg vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EAC
1 - 2
BLE
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BLE
0 - 2
TRE
39%
25%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FEL
1 - 0
BLE
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BLE
2 - 1
FCH
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BLE
4 - 2
RUD
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 2
WAC
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 1
RAP
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
RAP
2 - 0
DRA
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 0
RAP
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
EAC
1 - 1
RAP
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |