Bleiburg vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
DRA
2 - 4
BLE
28%
25%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BLE
3 - 2
SPI
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ANB
1 - 3
BLE
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BLE
3 - 3
FEL
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
TRE
0 - 1
BLE
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
FLC
0 - 2
LEN
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SCL
3 - 0
FLC
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FLC
4 - 0
VEI
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MSA
2 - 1
FLC
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
KMD
0 - 0
FLC
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |