Bleiburg vs Hermagor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BLE
4 - 2
RUD
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
WOL
1 - 0
BLE
56%
22%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
FLC
0 - 0
BLE
32%
23%
45%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BLE
1 - 3
MSA
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SPI
5 - 1
BLE
45%
24%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hermagor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FCH
4 - 1
WAC
46%
24%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VOL
3 - 0
FCH
61%
21%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCH
3 - 3
DRA
23%
23%
55%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 2
FCH
64%
20%
16%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCH
3 - 0
EAC
27%
23%
50%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |