Blauw Geel '38 vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
78.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BLA
5 - 0
JOS
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 0
OSS
56%
22%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HSC
0 - 1
BLA
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
DEM
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GVV
1 - 3
BLA
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UTR
1 - 1
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
UTR
0 - 3
GRO
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
UTR
31%
25%
45%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VOL
0 - 4
UTR
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UTR
2 - 1
GRO
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |