Blauw Geel '38 vs Baronie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ADO
4 - 1
BLA
74%
16%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 4
UNA
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 2
USV
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UDI
1 - 2
BLA
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
QUI
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GRO
3 - 1
BAR
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 4
QUI
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
UNA
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
JOS
1 - 7
BAR
26%
24%
49%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
OSS
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |