Blau-Weiß 1890 Berlin vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
11º
7º
39
6º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß 1890 Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
BWB
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BWB
4 - 1
DSC
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 0
BWB
11%
16%
74%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -3 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
BWB
2 - 0
MSV
76%
15%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MSV
3 - 3
BWB
28%
21%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DSC
4 - 3
TAS
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TAS
2 - 1
RSV
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
3 - 1
TAS
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TAS
1 - 5
BAB
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAK
9 - 0
TAS
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |