Blau-Weiß 1890 Berlin vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß 1890 Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
USO
0 - 2
BWB
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
BWB
2 - 1
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
BWB
1 - 1
SAA
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
OSN
1 - 1
BWB
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
BWB
2 - 1
DAR
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
M05
1 - 6
MEP
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
SCF
1 - 1
M05
63%
20%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
M05
3 - 1
OFC
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
WAT
2 - 1
M05
66%
19%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
M05
1 - 0
BAY
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |