Blau-Weiß 1890 Berlin vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß 1890 Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1987 |
STP
0 - 3
BWB
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
OFC
3 - 0
BWB
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
BWB
2 - 2
AAA
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
BAY
0 - 0
BWB
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
BWB
2 - 2
SAA
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1987 |
SUL
1 - 6
KÖL
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
KÖL
2 - 0
STP
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
SVS
2 - 2
KÖL
67%
19%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
KÖL
1 - 0
DAR
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
WAT
2 - 1
KÖL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |