Blanc Mesnil vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
13º
14º
13º
44
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blanc Mesnil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 2
BLA
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
PAR
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 1
IVR
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
BLA
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
VTR
35%
23%
43%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 0
IVR
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
AUB
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AUB
1 - 1
ESA
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VTR
2 - 1
AUB
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AUB
1 - 0
LMR
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |