Blagnac vs Saint Paul Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+356%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
8º
2º
19
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ONE
0 - 3
BLA
35%
24%
42%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
USR
1 - 1
BLA
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CRF
0 - 0
BLA
55%
26%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
5 - 0
SEP
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
BAY
47%
26%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Saint Paul Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SPS
0 - 0
FCP
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LES
1 - 0
SPS
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GDB
1 - 1
SPS
79%
14%
7%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
SPS
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SPS
1 - 2
COL
13%
19%
68%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | 0 |