Blagnac vs Saint-Estève Perpignan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
8º
2º
10
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
BAY
47%
26%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
BLA
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 4
BLA
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 1
FCP
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LES
1 - 0
BLA
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Estève Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LES
5 - 1
SEP
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 2
LEG
24%
22%
55%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GDB
2 - 2
SEP
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 0
COL
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 3
SEP
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +1 |