Blagnac vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
67.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 1
BEZ
13%
23%
64%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
BLA
46%
26%
29%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 0
LEG
37%
23%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
LES
0 - 0
BLA
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 3
PAU
29%
23%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
ORL
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
BOU
4 - 1
RED
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
RED
1 - 2
TRO
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
OLP
0 - 3
RED
7%
14%
79%
|
64 | 8 | 56 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
GAZ
2 - 1
RED
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |