Blagnac vs Pau FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
8º
2º
42
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LES
1 - 0
BLA
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
LEG
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GDB
0 - 1
BLA
41%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
BLA
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCP
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 2
LES
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LEG
1 - 1
FCP
38%
25%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 1
GDB
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
FCP
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |