Blagnac vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FAB
0 - 4
BLA
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BLA
2 - 2
MUR
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 2
BLA
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BLA
3 - 0
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BEA
1 - 1
BLA
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 5
OLY
25%
22%
53%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 2
BEA
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
NAR
0 - 1
NIM
34%
22%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
NAR
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NAR
1 - 2
MUR
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |