Blagnac vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
BLA
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 0
BAL
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 1
NIO
9%
18%
73%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 0
RED
11%
21%
68%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 1
BEZ
13%
23%
64%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NAR
3 - 2
AGD
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
OLY
3 - 0
NAR
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
NAR
7 - 0
LOR
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 3
NAR
41%
26%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
NAR
3 - 1
NIM
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |