Blagnac vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
13º
9º
19
5º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 39 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 37 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 27 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 26 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 20 |
14º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 75% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
23.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LEG
2 - 2
BLA
28%
28%
44%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BLA
0 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 1
BLA
38%
28%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
BLA
36%
29%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 1
FCP
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 1
ONE
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAY
5 - 1
CAS
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 0
STA
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
GDB
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |