Blagnac vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BLA
0 - 1
BEA
40%
24%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
OLY
1 - 0
BLA
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 3
SAM
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 1
BLA
34%
27%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 1
NAR
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
OLY
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
BAL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 1
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
FAB
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |