Blagnac vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
BLA
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 4
BLA
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 1
FCP
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LES
1 - 0
BLA
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
LEG
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 0
LEG
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 0
COL
37%
25%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
BAY
66%
20%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 0
SPS
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ONE
1 - 1
BAY
50%
22%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |