Blagnac vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 2
BER
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LEG
3 - 2
BLA
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 0
ROD
57%
23%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 1
BLA
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BLA
0 - 0
ANG
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 0
BAL
55%
25%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FAB
1 - 1
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
BER
32%
26%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LEG
1 - 0
AUR
48%
25%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 1
ROD
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |