Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
62.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 0
BDG
87%
9%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BDG
0 - 1
LID
9%
13%
78%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 0
BDG
80%
13%
6%
|
19 | 58 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 0
BDG
76%
13%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BDG
1 - 1
ABB
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
TRE
53%
20%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
TRE
6 - 1
ABB
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
TAF
35%
21%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 2
AAF
32%
22%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
TRE
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |