Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 3
BDG
39%
22%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BDG
4 - 1
CAM
21%
22%
57%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +5 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
LID
0 - 3
BDG
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 2
PEN
54%
20%
25%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SUF
5 - 1
BDG
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
PON
12%
17%
71%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
PON
2 - 0
CWM
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
PON
20%
23%
58%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
NWC
0 - 1
PON
17%
22%
60%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PON
2 - 3
TRE
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | -1 |