Baglan Dragons vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SUF
5 - 1
BDG
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BDG
4 - 3
CWM
20%
18%
62%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 0
BDG
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 2
LLA
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BDG
0 - 2
AAF
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 1
CWM
6%
12%
83%
|
23 | 60 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
LID
13%
15%
72%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
4 - 1
PEN
77%
13%
10%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
NWC
48%
21%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 0
PEN
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |