Baglan Dragons vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
BDG
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 3
AAF
28%
22%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 0
TAF
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ABB
0 - 3
BDG
34%
22%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 1
GOY
26%
21%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 1
CAM
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 2
CWM
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 1
TAF
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
4 - 0
ABE
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
LLA
18%
20%
61%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |