Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BDG
0 - 0
LLA
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 0
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CWM
1 - 1
BDG
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 2
LLA
15%
19%
66%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
BDG
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
CWM
45%
23%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLA
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAR
23%
24%
54%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
TAF
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ABB
2 - 0
CAR
12%
16%
71%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -2 |