Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
78.1%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.2%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 0
BDG
80%
13%
6%
|
17 | 57 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 0
BDG
76%
13%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BDG
1 - 1
ABB
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 4
BDG
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BDG
5 - 1
FCC
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 0
LID
15%
18%
67%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LID
4 - 1
LLA
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
LID
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LID
2 - 3
PON
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
LID
0 - 4
CAR
12%
20%
69%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | -1 |