Baglan Dragons vs Abergavenny Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CWM
1 - 1
BDG
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 2
LLA
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
BDG
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 3
AAF
28%
22%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 0
TAF
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 1
AAF
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAM
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
6 - 0
ABE
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
4 - 0
ABE
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
BRI
9%
16%
75%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |