Blacktown City Demons vs Western Sydney Wanderers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
8º
3º
31
4º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
BLA
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 2
ROC
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 0
BLA
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
4 - 1
BUA
91%
7%
2%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STG
2 - 2
BLA
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
WSW
1 - 2
CCM
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NWS
1 - 0
WSW
16%
19%
66%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MDT
2 - 1
WSW
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WSW
2 - 1
MAN
26%
21%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 1
WSW
87%
8%
5%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |