Blacktown City Demons vs Sydney United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
8º
3º
39
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 1
BLA
9%
19%
72%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 0
SYD
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SYD
1 - 3
BLA
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MDT
0 - 2
BLA
20%
23%
58%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sydney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 3
ROC
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 1
SUT
70%
17%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SYD
1 - 0
SYD
61%
18%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 0
BUA
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
SYD
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |