Blacktown City Demons vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
73.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
BLA
3 - 0
BON
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
BLA
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 2
API
77%
14%
9%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
BLA
0 - 2
BLA
11%
18%
72%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
BLA
6 - 2
SYD
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
PER
0 - 2
SYD
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
WOL
0 - 3
SYD
5%
11%
84%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
SYD
2 - 2
SHA
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 1
SYD
48%
23%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
SYD
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |