Blacktown City Demons vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SGS
0 - 0
BLA
12%
20%
69%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BLA
6 - 3
API
61%
21%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 2
BLA
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 1
WOL
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BUA
0 - 2
BLA
9%
17%
74%
|
49 | 14 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SUT
0 - 0
NWS
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
WSW
3 - 1
SUT
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 2
SUT
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 1
BUA
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
STG
3 - 1
SUT
65%
17%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |