Blacktown City Demons vs Nws Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.8%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
10.7%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
6.3%
1.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
8º
3º
39
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
WSW
2 - 3
BLA
12%
19%
70%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 1
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 2
BLA
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SYD
1 - 2
BLA
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 0
API
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nws Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NWS
2 - 2
STG
6%
12%
82%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NWS
2 - 0
BUA
41%
22%
37%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 1
NWS
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
NWS
0 - 4
NTI
23%
20%
58%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |