Blacktown City Demons vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 0
MAR
90%
8%
2%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
BLA
15%
20%
65%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
BLA
0 - 0
ROC
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
API
1 - 1
BLA
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 1
BON
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
NEM
10%
18%
73%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
NEM
0 - 2
WAD
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
NEM
2 - 4
SAP
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
NEM
5 - 0
WHI
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 1
NEM
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |